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☆ A rate cut in June is still on tap because the job market is weakening, Citi economist says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

It's still likely the Fed will issue its first rate cut this June, Citi economist Veronica Clark said. That's because central bankers will need to support a weakening labor market, Clark told Yahoo Finance. AdvertisementThe Federal Reserve is still likely to cut rates in June in order to prop up the labor market amid a slowdown in hiring, according to Citi economist Veronica Clark. "We have a base case for June still," Clark said of rate cuts, though she noted a July Fed rate cut was also possible. Markets are now pricing in just one or two cuts by December, according to the CME FedWatch tool, down from as many as seven rate cuts projected at the start of 2024.

Persons: It's, Veronica Clark, Clark, —, That's, Powell Organizations: Citi, Yahoo Finance, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics — Locations: Central

☆ China's GDP rose 5.3% in the first quarter, but it doesn't mean the economic pain is over
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

China's economy grew 5.3% in the first quarter of 2024, surpassing analyst expectations. China's property market struggles persist, with 1Q new home sales falling nearly 31% from a year ago. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: —, Sheng Laiyun Organizations: Service, National Bureau, Statistics —, Bloomberg, NBS, Business Locations: China, Beijing

☆ A couple that quit full-time work in their 20s share the money mindset that 'propelled' them to financial independence without altering their quality of life: 'We made zero sacrifices'
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-12 | by ( Kathleen Elkins | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Lauren and Steven Keys built a million-dollar portfolio from scratch, which set them up to quit their full-time jobs in their 20s and pursue various side projects and creative work. "We made, honestly, zero sacrifices on our journey," Steven said, noting that they never budgeted or tracked their spending. The couple kept the cost of their hobbies in check and sometimes even found ways to monetize them. In fact, it made us significantly more money than it cost us in the first place," said Steven. Playing Magic: The Gathering, on aggregate over my lifetime, has actually made me money, not cost me."

Persons: Lauren, Steven Keys, Steven, we're Organizations: Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics — Locations: The Florida, United States

☆ Gen Z Is Primed to Succeed at Starting Their Own Small Business
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Eve Upton-Clark | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +13 min

He was able to scale the business to more than $600,000 in revenue by 2018, when he graduated from high school. Before the internet, starting a business was a serious hassle. The problem wasn't that people weren't interested in starting a business: A 2016 EY study found that 62% of 18- to 34-year-olds had toyed with venturing into business ownership. That has made starting a business all the more appealing — and affordable — for prospective entrepreneurs. And with the plethora of digital tools we have today, starting a business is more accessible than ever.

Persons: Luke Lintz, Lintz, Bernhard Schroeder, Schroeder, Gen Zers, —, Martin Warner, Warner, GoDaddy, HighKey, Nicki Minaj, Kevin Hart, Khloé Kardashian, Tom Peters, Peters, " Schroeder, ZenBusiness, Gen, Zers, he'd Organizations: Apple, Shipping, Lavin Entrepreneurship, San Diego State University, Entrepreneurship, Dynamics Statistics, Business, Fast Company, Small Business Administration Locations: North America, China

☆ The gig economy, overemployment, and job switching have made it easier than ever to boost your income. But those strategies aren't always worth it.
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Some side hustles come with a significant time investment and unpredictable pay. Related storiesNot all side hustles come with the time investment that ride-hailing does. But everyone with a side gig is faced with the same question: Are the extra working hours worth the financial reward? Only eight months after he started, he resigned from his two extra roles and decided to stop job-juggling for the time being. But all prospective job-switchers are faced with the same question: Are the uncertainties that come with a new job worth the financial reward?

Persons: —, switchers, Lyft, There's, overemployment Organizations: Service, Business, Harris Poll, Uber, Twin Cities, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Harris, Atlanta Fed Locations: Atlanta, Minnesota, Texas

☆ Opinion | China’s Economy Is in Serious Trouble
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Paul Krugman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Many economists (though not me) argued that getting inflation down would require years of high unemployment; instead, we’ve experienced immaculate disinflation, rapidly falling inflation at no visible cost. But the story has been very different in the world’s biggest economy (or second biggest — it depends on the measure). Instead, China has underperformed by just about every economic indicator other than official G.D.P., which supposedly grew by 5.2 percent. Democratic nations like the United States rarely politicize their economic statistics — although ask me again if Donald Trump returns to office — but authoritarian regimes often do. Even the official statistics say that China is experiencing Japan-style deflation and high youth unemployment.

Persons: we’ve, Donald Trump, It’s Organizations: Democratic Locations: U.S, China, United States, Japan

☆ I moved to Germany from the US for free education and almost got deported. It's one of the best things that ever happened to me.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-26 | by ( Adriana Stein | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

After studying for 6 months, she failed a German language test and lost her student visa. I spent six months learning German from scratch at an in-person German language school. I failed the language test and learned first hand how strict rules could be in GermanyEverything felt set. I still live in Hamburg, Germany with my husband, who I met here. Failing the German language test and being rejected from my master's program was tough, but the resilience that blossomed has been worth it.

Persons: Adriana Stein, —, I've, I'd, Germany —, I Organizations: Service, Portland State University, University of Hamburg, University, Craigslist, AS Marketing Locations: Germany, Spain, Hamburg, Eastern Oregon, undergrad, Oregon

☆ A Record 119,300 New York City Students Were Homeless Last Year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Troy Closson | More About Troy Closson | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The number of homeless public school students in New York City reached an all-time high of 119,320 last school year, according to new data released Wednesday, as migrants crossing the southern border continued to flock to the city. The statistics — which include children in shelters, hotels, relatives’ homes and other transient places — illuminate the challenges for Mayor Eric Adams’s administration in handling the rise in homeless students. New York City’s homeless student population is now larger than the entire traditional public school system of Philadelphia. Now, about 1 in 9 New York City students are homeless. In one section of the Bronx, more than 22 percent of students were homeless.

Persons: Eric Adams’s Organizations: New York Locations: New York City, York, Philadelphia, Bronx

☆ Ozempic maker Novo Nordisk isn't just Europe's second-most valuable company. It is also singlehandedly boosting Denmark's economy.
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ozempic-maker Novo Nordisk is Europe's second-largest company by market capitalization. It's also boosting Denmark's economy all on its own. AdvertisementAdvertisementNot only that, Novo Nordisk has also been propping up Denmark's economy all on its own. Jonas Petersen, an analyst at Denmark's statistics department, further told the AFP that the trend is "changing the picture of the economy." Denmark's statistics department and Danske Bank's Olsen did not immediately respond to requests from Insider for comment sent outside regular business hours.

Persons: It's, would've, LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Elon Musk, Amy Schumer, they've, Las Olsen, Jonas Petersen, Bank's Olsen Organizations: Novo Nordisk, pharma, Service, Novo Nordisk's, Novo, Danske Bank, AFP, Nordisk Locations: Wall, Silicon, Europe

☆ Real talk? Here's the probability a Supreme Court justice dies in the next presidential term
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Walt Hickey | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The Supreme Court has a major impact on everyday Americans' lives. The thing is, the ramifications of what a Supreme Court can do are vastly more important than the feelings of a couple of justices. There is a 6-3 split on the court, with the justices appointed by GOP presidents enjoying a rather substantial lead. Democrats probably need to think about what an acceptable level of risk is for losing control of the Supreme Court for generations. Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg decided against retiring during President Obama's term despite a desire from the president to ensure her replacement reflected her liberal values.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Biden, Sonia Sotomayor, Elana Kagan, Samuel Alito, Clarence Thomas, Ruth Bader Ginsberg, Obama's, Trump, Amy Coney Barrett Organizations: Service, Social Security Administration, Republican, Democratic, GOP Locations: Wall, Silicon, it's

☆ The remote work revolution is crashing into a cold reality: Research is finding workers are less productive at home
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Jacob Zinkula | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Recent research found that fully remote workers were less productive than office workers. A recent analysis of multiple studies by the Stanford economist Nick Bloom, a leading remote-work expert, found that fully remote workers were 10% to 20% less productive than their in-office counterparts. But the research has found, on average, those working in the office at least some of the time are more productive . Even Zoom, which is synonymous with remote work, recently called some employees back to the office for at least two days a week. Bloom recently estimated 60% of Americans worked fully in person, 30% worked in person between one and four days per week, and 10% worked fully remotely.

Persons: Nick Bloom, Mark Zuckerberg, Marc Benioff, Jeff Moriarty, Moriarty, he's, Kate Ecke, Ecke, telehealth, it's, Raj Choudhury, Stanford's Bloom, Bloom Organizations: Service, National Bureau of Economic Research, Stanford, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Meta, Harvard Business School Locations: Wall, Silicon, India, Chicago, New Jersey

Devastating wildfires linked to climate change have lately become somewhat normal in the American West and beyond. In that sense, the Maui fires are nothing new. The ones on Maui this week are destructive in part because of the island’s isolation, fragile supply chains and dependence on tourism. The winds driving the fires, driven themselves in part by a hurricane passing hundreds of miles away in the Pacific Ocean, were expected to ease on Thursday. Phone service was down in some parts of the island’s west coast, including Hawaii’s former royal capital, Lahaina, where fire has been ripping through weathered wooden storefronts.

Persons: ”, Burgess Harrison, “ Organizations: Fire, U.S . Coast Guard, Hawaii Department of Health Locations: Maui, American, Maui and Minnesota, Minnesota, Hawaii, Lahaina

☆ What’s ahead this week for Wall Street and the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-23 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

Case Shiller house price index for May and consumer confidence for July from the Conference Board. Earnings reports from AT&T, Boeing, Meta Platforms, Mattel, Stellantis and Chipotle Mexican Grill. Earnings reports from Coca-Cola, Mondelez, Honeywell, Keurig Dr Pepper, Royal Caribbean, Anheuser-Busch Inbev, Southwest Airlines and Hershey. Friday: Personal Consumption Expenditures price index for June, Employment Cost Index for the second quarter and University of Michigan consumer sentiment for July. Earnings reports from Procter & Gamble, Chevron and Exxon Mobil.

Persons: Jerome Powell, David Smith, Powell, Christopher Waller, ”, Dustin Thackeray, Tesla, Chris Isidore, —, Case, Dr Pepper Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Fed, Traders, Rockland Trust, Big Tech, Microsoft, Meta, Crewe Advisors, Nasdaq, Netflix, Safety, Health Administration, doesn’t, Biden Administration, Bureau of Labor Statistics —, Ryanair, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, General Motors, Daniels, Midland, Verizon, PacWest, Boeing, Mattel, Honeywell, Anheuser, Busch Inbev, Southwest Airlines, Hershey, University of Michigan, Procter & Gamble, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: Rockland, American, United States, PacWest Bank, Royal Caribbean

☆ A Texas town is trying to solve the US physician shortage with 'homegrown' clinicians — a possible answer to the primary-care drought plaguing 100 million Americans
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( Natalie Rahhal | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

El Paso is among the 95% of Texas counties that have some shortage of primary-care physicians. The hope is they will stay and practice medicine in El Paso after medical school and residency. El Paso County, which includes the city of the same name, is among the 95% of Texas counties that have a shortage of primary-care physicians. The idea, he added, is that those participants will have a higher likelihood of staying after medical school and residency. Makena Piñon is one of five El Paso high school seniors accepted into MedFuture's first cohort.

Persons: Piñon, They're, Atul Grover, —, Grover, we've, hasn't, Dr, Richard Lange, Paul L, Lange, Makena, TTUHSC, Cynthia Perry Organizations: Healthcare, Morning, El Paso, National Center for Education Statistics —, Association of American Medical Colleges, Research, Action Institute, Office, University of Texas, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center El, El, Foster School of Medicine, Association of American Medical, Texas Higher Locations: El Paso, Texas, El, Houston, El Paso County, —, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center El Paso, TTUHSC El Paso, , Texas, Mississippi, Louisiana

☆ In the Paris Suburb Where Police Shot a Teenager, Violence and Vigilance
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-01 | by ( Constant Méheut | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

Nanterre is one such suburb. The public-housing high-rises of Pablo-Picasso, standing just outside the Paris business district of La Défense, stand as examples of that effort. But Nanterre continues to suffer from high unemployment — 14 percent compared with 8 percent nationally in 2020, according to official statistics — and some neighborhoods, including Pablo-Picasso, suffer from drug-trafficking. Still, the violence of recent days has baffled many neighborhood residents who see it destroying property in the place they live, which simply makes people’s lives harder. “The anger is as strong as the violence of the tragedy,” said Ms. Mohamed Saly, who manages Le 35, a popular neighborhood restaurant with her husband, Brahim Rochdi.

Persons: rekindling, Pablo, Picasso, ”, Mohamed Saly, Brahim, “ Organizations: Nanterre Locations: France, Nanterre, Paris, La, Le

☆ I'm an AI-prompt engineer. Here are my 3 requirements for writing a prompt for chatbots like ChatGPT.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-29 | by ( Marc Shoffman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

I joined AutogenAI, a company that has built a language model companies use for bid and tender writing, in July 2022. At university, I focused mostly on analytic philosophy, such as mathematical logic, formal logic, philosophy of science, and linguistics. It is fundamental to understand that when prompting a large language model, you are, in some way, communicating with it. The command, "make this paragraph better," assumes the language model knows whether that means longer, shorter, clearer, or less boring. Though this may be intuitive to you, it isn't explicitly clear to the language model.

Persons: Teodora Danilovic, —, I've Organizations: Service, King's College, Serbian Locations: King's College London, London, Serbian, Silicon Valley

☆ Americans are spending less money even as the Chinese spend more. Take a look at the 5 major US companies winning on China's spending spree.
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

As people in China get out of their homes to travel and spend, retail sales have improved in China, rising almost 11% year-on-year in March. In comparison, China's core inflation rose just 0.7% in March from a year ago, according to official data from Beijing. All this means American companies facing a slowdown in US consumption are getting a boost from Chinese demand. He added the MGM China division posted a "swift return to profitability." Net revenues for the MGM China division were also 130% higher from a year ago "amid strong reopening trends," MGM said in its earnings release.

☆ What to expect from the jobs report
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Minneapolis CNN —If the latest employment trends continue and economists’ forecasts prove true, Friday’s jobs report could bring back that pre-pandemic feeling. Economists expect the US economy to have added 180,000 jobs in April, according to consensus estimates on Refinitiv. It could also hammer home the fact that the US labor market has indeed cooled down from its red-hot recovery over the past two years. What a rising unemployment rate meansEconomists are expecting the unemployment rate to tick up to 3.6% from 3.5%, according to Refinitiv. Mixed signalsPayroll processor ADP’s monthly look at private-sector employment activity, released two days before the BLS’ employment report, is sometimes looked at as a preview of what to expect from the federal data.

☆ Healthcare, college education, and childcare started getting worse decades ago. Now we're all finally feeling it.
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-08 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +16 min

Americans are accruing billions in debt to pay for things like education and healthcare. But that would require shifting the idea of childcare, education, and healthcare and thinking of them as public goods — not businesses. That ultimately meant millions in funding for public childcare. "If the US health system was a country, it would be about the fourth-largest country in the world," Cooper said. There's much less government involvement in the US healthcare system than in other countries, Cooper said.

☆ Remote job options are dwindling
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Juliana Kaplan | Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The following chart shows select industries and which ones among them have the highest share of establishments where people teleworked all the time. BLS data shows the information sector had a relatively high share of establishments where workers worked remotely all the time, at 42.2%. While remote options may seem to be dwindling, some experts Insider talked to say that remote work is going to continue to be prevalent. "Remote work has been a huge and permanent change to how people work and live," Adam Ozimek, chief economist at the Economic Innovation Group, told Insider. Have you had to choose between returning to the office or losing your job?

☆ Russia says its economy did better than expected, one year into the Ukraine war. But experts say there's a red flag behind the announcement.
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-23 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

According to Russia's federal statistics service, the country's GDP contracted by 2.1% in 2022. However, Russia stopped publishing some key economic data last year, throwing up a red flag. While this contraction reversed a 5.6% GDP growth in 2021, it did far better than an 8.8% to 12.4% contraction that Russia's economy ministry projected in April 2022. The war in Ukraine triggered heightened concerns over issues related to energy security, particularly about natural gas exports — which Europe was reliant on. The EU's ban on Russian oil imports from December sent countries rushing to load up before the embargo kicked in, which helped prop up Russia's energy coffers.

That surge in demand and limited supply contributed to higher prices. But diners will likely still pay higher menu prices than they were last year. Dutch Bros. Coffee CEO Joth Ricci told CNBC that most coffee businesses hedge their prices six to 12 months in advance. However, Zandi said, if the job market remains strong, inflation eases and wages grow, Americans can better manage higher prices for airfare and other items. Several hot pandemic items, including TVs, computers, sporting goods and major appliances have dropped in price, according to Labor Department data from December.

Labor shortagesAs the pandemic swooped in, air travel was among the industries most affected, as more than 90% of flights were grounded. Today, labor shortages exist throughout the economy, but the problem drags on in the air travel sector, where more extensive employee training is usually required. Steven Senne / APOutdated technology and infrastructureThere is near-universal agreement that the infrastructure underpinning segments of America's air travel system is outdated and vulnerable. Rep. Sam Graves, R-Montana, said the incident highlighted "a huge vulnerability in our air transportation system." Air travel should be predictable and consistent, and you shouldn’t have to wonder if air traffic control is going to be working today as you head to the airport.

But mainstream economic data doesn't always reflect the struggle, according to William Spriggs, Howard University economics professor and chief economist for the AFL-CIO. Throughout the last year, employers claimed they were struggling to staff properly, citing a lack of workers. But as the workforce picked up, employers weren't actually hiring, Spriggs said. Specifically, he said, they weren't hiring Black workers. Watch the video to learn more about how implicit bias corrupts economic data and therefore our understanding of the current labor landscape.

☆ Why is everyone crying on LinkedIn?: 'The numbers were very clear'
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-28 | by ( Aditi Shrikant | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

"Dominic hit Kai in the face with a broom," begins Kwame Christian's LinkedIn post. 'I was very annoyed people liked the family stuff'Christian started sharing more about his life outside work on LinkedIn about a year ago. "I actually posted it on Facebook first, and someone suggested I post on LinkedIn and I reluctantly did," she says. The most obvious cause for the proliferation of personal LinkedIn posts is the pandemic. Like most trends that cropped up in the last three years, Covid-19 didn't invent the sappy LinkedIn post, it just catalyzed its adoptions.

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